PoMM User Manual - Revision history

Ricpiz: /* A case of exploration with ABM */

2025-08-27T13:42:02Z

A case of exploration with ABM

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 # ''Set your intervention scenario''. Then specify your intervention scenario and run the model as many times as the baseline scenario.
 # ''Analysis''. Time to look closely at the data. Compare the average trends and final states of the output indicators between the baseline and intervention groups. You may want to use statistical tests (like t-tests or analysis of variance on final values or average values over a period) if appropriate, given the multiple runs, to determine if differences are significant. Look at the distribution of key indicators (e.g. does the increased proportion of owner-residents also increase support for NBS policies?).
 ====== A case of exploration with ABM ======
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 However, since the model has stochastic (random) elements, a single run is generally not enough. For each scenario, it would be better to run the simulation 20 times and let each run proceed for a fixed duration (at least 2000 ticks) to allow the system to stabilize or show clear trends. Doing this manually can be burdensome, so to perform this type of experiment, it is advisable to download the model and run it on the NetLogo desktop application, which has a native feature called Behavior Space designed for this purpose.
 ==== Documenting and reporting policy and decision-making experiments ====
 It is important that every experiment is documented in detail. This should include the 'why' (the research question or hypothesis), the 'how' (the model version, parameters and execution) and the 'what' (the results and where the data is located). This level of detail is essential for allowing other policy makers and scientists (and you in the future) to understand precisely what was done, to be able to recreate the simulations, to verify the findings, and to build upon your work confidently.

Ricpiz: /* A simple case of exploration with ABM */

2025-08-27T08:51:57Z

A simple case of exploration with ABM

Show changes

Ricpiz: Updated some images and text

2025-08-26T14:50:43Z

Updated some images and text

← Older revision		Revision as of 16:50, 26 August 2025
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	''Owners (Residential & Commercial):''		''Owners (Residential & Commercial):''
	* Characteristics: Similar to citizens regarding economic capacity, NBS sentiment, memory, and risk exposure. They are categorized as either "residential" or "commercial".		* Characteristics: Similar to citizens regarding economic capacity, NBS sentiment, memory, and risk exposure. They are categorized as either "residential" or "commercial".
	* Decisions/Actions: Update memory and risk perception. Decide whether to invest in NBS. Residential owners base this decision on their sentiment, affordability (considering economic capacity and taxes), ~~and~~ perceived risk. Commercial owners use a Return on Investment (ROI) calculation, comparing expected damage reduction from NBS against its cost. Wealthier owners might expand their property holdings if their economic capacity stays high for a period. Owners are also subject to taxation.		* Decisions/Actions: Update memory and risk perception. Decide whether to invest in NBS. Residential owners base this decision on their sentiment, affordability (considering economic capacity and taxes), perceived risk and long-term financial outlook. Commercial owners use a Return on Investment (ROI) calculation, comparing expected damage reduction from NBS against its cost. This is reflected in a '''willingness to pay for NBS (WTP)''' and in a '''willingness to take risks (WTA)'''. Wealthier owners might expand their property holdings if their economic capacity stays high for a period. Owners are also subject to taxation.
	''Public Authority:''		''Public Authority:''
	* Characteristics: A single agent representing the governing body. It manages a budget funded by taxes. Key dynamic attributes include its political alignment (shifting between pro-environment and pro-development stances), the strength of its policies, and its influence. It receives petitions from citizens expressing concern.		* Characteristics: A single agent representing the governing body. It manages a budget funded by taxes. Key dynamic attributes include its political alignment (shifting between pro-environment and pro-development stances), the strength of its policies, and its influence. It receives petitions from citizens expressing concern.
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	The model tracks and visualizes key system states:		The model tracks and visualizes key system states:
	*NBS Uptake: Total count of active NBS solutions (total-nbs-adopted-monitor).		*NBS Uptake: Total count of active NBS solutions (total-nbs-adopted-monitor).
	*Risk Levels: Average risk exposure experienced by citizens and owners (avg-risk-exposure-monitor~~, risk-exposure-plot~~).		*Risk Levels: Average risk exposure experienced by citizens and owners (avg-risk-exposure-monitor).
	*Public Sentiment: Average NBS adoption sentiment across citizens and owners (avg-nbs-sentiment-monitor, nbs-sentiment-plot).		*Public Sentiment: Average NBS adoption sentiment across citizens and owners (avg-nbs-sentiment-monitor, nbs-sentiment-plot).
	*Environmental Quality: Average CEC contamination level in water bodies (avg-cec-contamination-monitor~~, cec-contamination-plot~~).		*Environmental Quality: Average CEC contamination level in water bodies (avg-cec-contamination-monitor).
	*Governance State: Time series plot showing the Public Authority's political alignment, policy strength, influence strength, and potentially the tax rate (pa-attributes-plot).		*Governance State: Time series plot showing the Public Authority's political alignment, policy strength, influence strength, and potentially the tax rate (pa-attributes-plot).
			*WTP for NBS: The maximum economic capacity an agent is willing to spend on an NBS (wtp-for-nbs-plot).
			*WTA for damage: The agent's current risk exposure as a direct measure of their "Willingness to Accept Damages". It represents the risk they are actively tolerating at this moment (wta-for damage-plot).
	'''Interpretation:'''		'''Interpretation:'''

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	'''<u>How to use it</u>'''		'''<u>How to use it</u>'''
	[[File:~~Fig_045~~.png\|alt=Fig. 45 - ABM NetLogo PoMM Interface\|thumb\|Fig. 45 - ABM NetLogo PoMM Interface]]		[[File:Fig. 45.png\|alt=Fig. 45 - ABM NetLogo PoMM Interface\|thumb\|Fig. 45 - ABM NetLogo PoMM Interface]]
	When the model has only just been loaded, the grid appears black. [Fig. 45]		When the model has only just been loaded, the grid appears black. [Fig. 45]

	'''Interface Controls:'''		'''Interface Controls:'''
	[[File:~~Fig_046~~.png\|alt=Fig. 46 - ABM Interface: sliders & switches\|thumb\|~~321x321px~~\|Fig. 46 - ABM Interface: sliders & switches]]		[[File:Fig.46.png\|alt=Fig. 46 - ABM Interface: sliders & switches\|thumb\|339x339px\|Fig. 46 - ABM Interface: sliders & switches]]

	'''''Sliders:''''' [Fig. 46]		'''''Sliders:''''' [Fig. 46]
	* <code>flood-frequency-slider, pollution-frequency-slider: Control the daily probability of flood/pollution events.</code>		* <code>flood-frequency-slider, pollution-frequency-slider: Control the daily probability of flood/pollution events.</code>
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	* <code>env-sensitivity-slider: Controls how strongly the average CEC level directly influences PA political alignment.</code>		* <code>env-sensitivity-slider: Controls how strongly the average CEC level directly influences PA political alignment.</code>
	* <code>budget-influence-on-policy-slider: Controls how much the PA's budget constrains its potential policy strength.</code>		* <code>budget-influence-on-policy-slider: Controls how much the PA's budget constrains its potential policy strength.</code>
			* <code>long-term-investor-ratio-slider: Sets the ratio of commercial owners with a long-term investment horizon.</code>


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	* <code>avg-cec-contamination-monitor: Average CEC level across all water bodies.</code>		* <code>avg-cec-contamination-monitor: Average CEC level across all water bodies.</code>
	* <code>(Optional monitors can be added for PA dynamic attributes)</code>		* <code>(Optional monitors can be added for PA dynamic attributes)</code>
			[[File:Fig.49.png\|alt=Fig. 49 - ABM Interface: Plots\|thumb\|264x264px\|Fig. 49 - ABM Interface: Plots]]
	[[File:~~Fig_049~~.png\|alt=Fig. 49 - ABM Interface: Plots\|thumb\|264x264px\|Fig. 49 - ABM Interface: Plots]]


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	'''''Plots'':''' [Fig. 49]		'''''Plots'':''' [Fig. 49]

	* risk-exposure-plot: Average risk exposure over time.
	* nbs-sentiment-plot: Average NBS sentiment over time.		* nbs-sentiment-plot: Average NBS sentiment over time.
	* cec-contamination-plot: Average CEC contamination over time.
	* pa-attributes-plot: Tracks PA's dynamic attributes (influence-strength, policy-strength, public-budget, taxation-rate). Ensure pens named "influence", "policy", "budget", "taxation" exist.		* pa-attributes-plot: Tracks PA's dynamic attributes (influence-strength, policy-strength, public-budget, taxation-rate). Ensure pens named "influence", "policy", "budget", "taxation" exist.
			* wtp-for-nbs-plot: Shows the WTP for NBS adoption over time
			* wta-for-nbs-plot: Shows the WTA for NBS adoption over time


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	\|-		\|-
	\|The viewer will animate and the starting situation with the agents and default conditions will be presented. The values shown in the monitors will automatically adapt to the starting configuration where needed.		\|The viewer will animate and the starting situation with the agents and default conditions will be presented. The values shown in the monitors will automatically adapt to the starting configuration where needed.
	\|[[File:~~Fig_051~~.png\|alt=Fig. 51 - The set up in D4Runoff ABM modelling\|thumb\|Fig. 51 - The set up in D4Runoff ABM modelling]]		\|[[File:Fig.51.png\|alt=Fig. 51 - The set up in D4Runoff ABM modelling\|thumb\|Fig. 51 - The set up in D4Runoff ABM modelling]]
	\|}		\|}

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	In the second, you will see how the trends evolve and you can decide to stop the analysis at any time by pressing the same \|go forever\| again to stop the experiment. As you can see, the system has evolved autonomously. [Fig. 52]		In the second, you will see how the trends evolve and you can decide to stop the analysis at any time by pressing the same \|go forever\| again to stop the experiment. As you can see, the system has evolved autonomously. [Fig. 52]

	\|\|[[File:~~Fig_052~~.png\|alt=Fig. 52 - ABM simulation after some ticks\|thumb\|Fig. 52 - ABM simulation after some ticks ~~\|center\|300x300px~~]]		\|\|[[File:Fig.52.png\|alt=Fig. 52 - ABM simulation after some ticks\|center\|thumb\|300x300px\|Fig. 52 - ABM simulation after some ticks]]
	\|-		\|-
	\|You can check the values in the monitors or the graphs in the plots to understand what has changed. [Fig. 53]		\|You can check the values in the monitors or the graphs in the plots to understand what has changed. [Fig. 53]
	\|[[File:~~Fig_053~~.png\|alt=Fig. 53 - Check the plots and the monitor to control the system\|thumb\|Fig. 53 - Check the plots and the monitor to control the system~~\|center\|150x150px~~]]		\|[[File:Fig.53.png\|alt=Fig. 53 - Check the plots and the monitor to control the system\|center\|thumb\|150x150px\|Fig. 53 - Check the plots and the monitor to control the system]]
	\|-		\|-
	\|You have a number of possibilities to check the evolution of the data.		\|You have a number of possibilities to check the evolution of the data.
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	* download the chart with different file extensions (png, jpg, pdf, svg) for different use		* download the chart with different file extensions (png, jpg, pdf, svg) for different use
	* download the data in csv format and read them with any calculation application.		* download the data in csv format and read them with any calculation application.
	\|[[File:~~Fig_054~~.png\|alt=Fig. 54 - Zooming, saving or downloading plots\|center\|thumb\|~~201x201px~~\|Fig. 54 - Zooming, saving or downloading plots]]		\|[[File:Fig. 54.png\|alt=Fig. 54 - Zooming, saving or downloading plots\|center\|thumb\|192x192px\|Fig. 54 - Zooming, saving or downloading plots]]
	\|-		\|-
	\| colspan="2" \|This information is crucial for the next step of understanding how to calibrate the different parameters to make specific analysis.		\| colspan="2" \|This information is crucial for the next step of understanding how to calibrate the different parameters to make specific analysis.

AnnaRodeghiero at 14:35, 12 June 2025

2025-06-12T14:35:00Z

← Older revision		Revision as of 16:35, 12 June 2025
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	[[Category:PU]]		[[Category:PU]]
			[[Category:User Manual]]

AnnaRodeghiero at 14:18, 12 June 2025

2025-06-12T14:18:05Z

← Older revision		Revision as of 16:18, 12 June 2025
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	~~[[Category~~:~~User Guide]]~~[[Category:~~PUB~~]]		Dissemination Level: PU

			[[Category:PU]]

AnnaRodeghiero: /* Run the experiment(s) */

2025-04-23T18:25:47Z

Run the experiment(s)

← Older revision		Revision as of 20:25, 23 April 2025
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	If you wish, you can also introduce more than one intervention at a time ('''\|Add Another Intervention\|'''). It is also possible to assign more than one target to the same intervention.		If you wish, you can also introduce more than one intervention at a time ('''\|Add Another Intervention\|'''). It is also possible to assign more than one target to the same intervention.

	~~However, from~~ the ~~point of view of analysis~~, ~~the insertion of several variables together (at least if you are new~~ to ~~this type of~~ simulation~~) could prevent you from clearly understanding the real influences of your intervention~~.		Please note: once the intervention (or interventions) has been entered and the simulation has been submitted to the system, it is NOT possible to add further interventions to that simulation.

	We therefore suggest that you generally proceed with one simulation at a time.		Save the results of your simulations and, if you are not satisfied, proceed with a new simulation. Alternatively, you can proceed in the same session, with new simulations but the system will always return the effect of your latest interventions on the baseline without ‘accumulating’ them.

			In any case, they will all be recorded and visible in the final report.

			If you already have a “strategy of interventions” to submit to the system, do so in a single simulation session.

			However, from the point of view of analysis, the insertion of several variables together (at least if you are new to this type of simulation) could prevent you from clearly understanding the real influences of your intervention.

			We therefore suggest that you generally proceed with one simulation at a time.
	\|[[File:Fig_071.png\|alt=Fig. 71 - Set influence and initial state\|thumb\|Fig. 71 - Set influence and initial state\|center\|150x150px]]		\|[[File:Fig_071.png\|alt=Fig. 71 - Set influence and initial state\|thumb\|Fig. 71 - Set influence and initial state\|center\|150x150px]]
	\|}		\|}

AnnaRodeghiero at 17:56, 23 April 2025

2025-04-23T17:56:36Z

← Older revision		Revision as of 19:56, 23 April 2025
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	It is important to strike the right button to start with! [Fig. 2]		It is important to strike the right button to start with! [Fig. 2]
	[[File:Fig_002.png\|alt=Fig. 2 - PoMM Sections overview\|thumb\|Fig. 2 - PoMM Sections overview~~\|250x250px~~]]		[[File:Fig_002.png\|alt=Fig. 2 - PoMM Sections overview\|thumb\|Fig. 2 - PoMM Sections overview]]

	* '''Start New Session:''' Begin a new policy modelling session from scratch.		* '''Start New Session:''' Begin a new policy modelling session from scratch.

AnnaRodeghiero at 14:13, 23 April 2025

2025-04-23T14:13:46Z

← Older revision		Revision as of 16:13, 23 April 2025
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	You can stop at the level where you intend to restore.		You can stop at the level where you intend to restore.
	\|[[File:Fig_041.png\|alt=Fig. 41 - Restore network modelling session from Intermediate Report & files\|center\|thumb\|~~149x149px~~\|Fig. 41 - Restore network modelling session from Intermediate Report & files]]		\|[[File:Fig_041.png\|alt=Fig. 41 - Restore network modelling session from Intermediate Report & files\|center\|thumb\|150x150px\|Fig. 41 - Restore network modelling session from Intermediate Report & files]]
	\|}		\|}

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			[[File:Fig_050.png\|alt=Fig. 50- ABM Interface: View\|thumb\|260x260px\|Fig. 50- ABM Interface: View]]
	'''''View:''''' [Fig. 50]		'''''View:''''' [Fig. 50]
	~~[[File:Fig_050.png\|alt=Fig. 50- ABM Interface: View\|thumb\|260x260px\|Fig. 50- ABM Interface: View ]]~~

	* Patches show water (blue, darker = higher CEC), land (green, darker = higher elevation), initial risk zones, agent risk (gradient green->orange->red), or NBS presence (yellow).		* Patches show water (blue, darker = higher CEC), land (green, darker = higher elevation), initial risk zones, agent risk (gradient green->orange->red), or NBS presence (yellow).

AnnaRodeghiero at 14:10, 23 April 2025

2025-04-23T14:10:18Z

Show changes

AnnaRodeghiero at 14:05, 23 April 2025

2025-04-23T14:05:29Z

← Older revision		Revision as of 16:05, 23 April 2025
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	\|-		\|-
	\|The viewer will animate and the starting situation with the agents and default conditions will be presented. The values shown in the monitors will automatically adapt to the starting configuration where needed.		\|The viewer will animate and the starting situation with the agents and default conditions will be presented. The values shown in the monitors will automatically adapt to the starting configuration where needed.
	\|[[File:~~050~~.png\|alt=Fig. ~~051~~ - The set up in D4Runoff ABM modelling\|thumb\|Fig. 51 - The set up in D4Runoff ABM modelling]]		\|[[File:Fig_051.png\|alt=Fig. 51 - The set up in D4Runoff ABM modelling\|thumb\|Fig. 51 - The set up in D4Runoff ABM modelling]]
	\|}		\|}

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	In the second, you will see how the trends evolve and you can decide to stop the analysis at any time by pressing the same \|go forever\| again to stop the experiment. As you can see, the system has evolved autonomously. [Fig. 52]		In the second, you will see how the trends evolve and you can decide to stop the analysis at any time by pressing the same \|go forever\| again to stop the experiment. As you can see, the system has evolved autonomously. [Fig. 52]

	\|\|[[File:~~051~~.png\|alt=Fig. ~~052~~ - ABM simulation after some ticks\|thumb\|Fig. 52 - ABM simulation after some ticks \|center\|300x300px]]		\|\|[[File:Fig_052.png\|alt=Fig. 52 - ABM simulation after some ticks\|thumb\|Fig. 52 - ABM simulation after some ticks \|center\|300x300px]]
	\|-		\|-
	\|You can check the values in the monitors or the graphs in the plots to understand what has changed. [Fig. 53]		\|You can check the values in the monitors or the graphs in the plots to understand what has changed. [Fig. 53]
	\|[[File:~~052~~.png\|alt=Fig. ~~053~~ - Check the plots and the monitor to control the system\|thumb\|Fig. 53 - Check the plots and the monitor to control the system\|center\|150x150px]]		\|[[File:Fig_053.png\|alt=Fig. 53 - Check the plots and the monitor to control the system\|thumb\|Fig. 53 - Check the plots and the monitor to control the system\|center\|150x150px]]
	\|-		\|-
	\|You have a number of possibilities to check the evolution of the data.		\|You have a number of possibilities to check the evolution of the data.
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	* download the chart with different file extensions (png, jpg, pdf, svg) for different use		* download the chart with different file extensions (png, jpg, pdf, svg) for different use
	* download the data in csv format and read them with any calculation application.		* download the data in csv format and read them with any calculation application.
	\|[[File:~~053~~.png\|alt=Fig. ~~054~~ - Zooming, saving or downloading plots\|center\|thumb\|201x201px\|Fig. 54 - Zooming, saving or downloading plots]]		\|[[File:Fig_054.png\|alt=Fig. 54 - Zooming, saving or downloading plots\|center\|thumb\|201x201px\|Fig. 54 - Zooming, saving or downloading plots]]
	\|-		\|-
	\| colspan="2" \|This information is crucial for the next step of understanding how to calibrate the different parameters to make specific analysis.		\| colspan="2" \|This information is crucial for the next step of understanding how to calibrate the different parameters to make specific analysis.
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	\|After downloading, choose '''<nowiki>\|NEXT\|</nowiki>'''. [Fig. 55]		\|After downloading, choose '''<nowiki>\|NEXT\|</nowiki>'''. [Fig. 55]
	You will enter a new simulation environment whose objective is to help you create a network of key concepts that represent, for example, a part of the current process on which you intend to ground your experiment. The underlying logic is based on '''Fuzzy Cognitive Maps (FCMs)'''.		You will enter a new simulation environment whose objective is to help you create a network of key concepts that represent, for example, a part of the current process on which you intend to ground your experiment. The underlying logic is based on '''Fuzzy Cognitive Maps (FCMs)'''.
	\|[[File:~~054-bis~~.png\|alt=Fig. ~~055~~ - Select next after Intermediate report\|center\|thumb\|150x150px\|Fig. 55 - Select next after Intermediate report ]]		\|[[File:Fig_055.png\|alt=Fig. 55 - Select next after Intermediate report\|center\|thumb\|150x150px\|Fig. 55 - Select next after Intermediate report ]]
	\|-		\|-
	\| colspan="2" \|FCMs are tools for understanding complex systems using "fuzzy" logic, which handles uncertainty.		\| colspan="2" \|FCMs are tools for understanding complex systems using "fuzzy" logic, which handles uncertainty.
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	They will appear in individual overlapping boxes that you can interact with directly by pressing the left mouse button to drag and drop them in your analysis space.		They will appear in individual overlapping boxes that you can interact with directly by pressing the left mouse button to drag and drop them in your analysis space.

	\|[[File:~~055~~.png\|alt=Fig.~~056~~ - Load selected nodes in FCM environment\|center\|thumb\|150x150px\|Fig.56 - Load selected nodes in FCM environment]]		\|[[File:Fig_056.png\|alt=Fig. 56 - Load selected nodes in FCM environment\|center\|thumb\|150x150px\|Fig.56 - Load selected nodes in FCM environment]]
	\|-		\|-
	\|When you move the mouse over each individual concept, two small symbols, a bin and a small arrow, will appear. [Fig. 57]		\|When you move the mouse over each individual concept, two small symbols, a bin and a small arrow, will appear. [Fig. 57]
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	For example, you could decide to note it to add other information that will help you in your analysis or assign it units of measurement or even a different color to help you distinguish groups of elements. [Fig. 58]		For example, you could decide to note it to add other information that will help you in your analysis or assign it units of measurement or even a different color to help you distinguish groups of elements. [Fig. 58]
	\|[[File:~~056~~.png\|alt=Fig. ~~057~~ - Drag and drop the concept to display in the analysis space\|center\|thumb\|150x150px\|Fig. 57 - Drag and drop the concept to display in the analysis space ]][[File:~~058~~.png\|alt=Fig. ~~058~~ - Assign characteristics to concepts\|center\|thumb\|Fig. 58 - Assign characteristics to concepts\|150x150px]]		\|[[File:Fig_057.png\|alt=Fig. 57 - Drag and drop the concept to display in the analysis space\|center\|thumb\|150x150px\|Fig. 57 - Drag and drop the concept to display in the analysis space ]][[File:Fig_058.png\|alt=Fig. 58 - Assign characteristics to concepts\|center\|thumb\|Fig. 58 - Assign characteristics to concepts\|150x150px]]
	\|-		\|-
	\|The next step is to create an interconnected map based on these concepts.: how are the elements you have identified in your process connected? What is their causal relationship?		\|The next step is to create an interconnected map based on these concepts.: how are the elements you have identified in your process connected? What is their causal relationship?
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	The two concepts are now linked by a causal connection. A question mark will appear on the arrow. [Fig. 59]		The two concepts are now linked by a causal connection. A question mark will appear on the arrow. [Fig. 59]
	\|[[File:~~059~~.png\|alt=Fig. ~~056~~ - Connect FCM concepts\|center\|thumb\|Fig. 59 - Connect FCM concepts\|150x150px]]		\|[[File:Fig_059.png\|alt=Fig. 59 - Connect FCM concepts\|center\|thumb\|Fig. 59 - Connect FCM concepts\|150x150px]]
	\|-		\|-
	\|If you click on the question mark, a cursor will appear that allows you to define what you think is the weight of the influence of one concept over another. As previously indicated, the relationship can be direct (+0.1;1) or inverse (-0.1; -1).		\|If you click on the question mark, a cursor will appear that allows you to define what you think is the weight of the influence of one concept over another. As previously indicated, the relationship can be direct (+0.1;1) or inverse (-0.1; -1).
	The evaluation, of course, is subjective. [Fig. 60]		The evaluation, of course, is subjective. [Fig. 60]
	\|[[File:~~060~~.png\|alt=Fig. ~~060~~ - Set the value of the influence among concepts\|thumb\|Fig. 60 - Set the value of the influence among concepts \|center\|150x150px]]		\|[[File:Fig_060.png\|alt=Fig. 60 - Set the value of the influence among concepts\|thumb\|Fig. 60 - Set the value of the influence among concepts \|center\|150x150px]]
	\|-		\|-
	\|Continue your reflections until you feel you have considered all the causal links between the concepts. Consider adding feedback loops if they exist in your system to make the model more dynamic. [Fig. 61]		\|Continue your reflections until you feel you have considered all the causal links between the concepts. Consider adding feedback loops if they exist in your system to make the model more dynamic. [Fig. 61]